Nascar Richmond Predictions

  

The Monster Energy Cup Series moves to Richmond Raceway, the third short-track race of the 2019 MENCS schedule.

  • #5-Kyle Larson won the Pennzoil 400 NASCAR Cup Series race at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The win is his 1st win of the year, 1st win at Las Vegas and 7th career win. #2-Keselowski finished 2nd followed by #18-Busch, #11-Hamlin, #12-Blaney, #19-Truex, Jr, #20-Bell, #24-Byron, #22-Logano, and #43-Jones. Timmy Hill picks up Las Vegas sponsor; J.
  • NASCAR at Richmond: Odds, prediction, sleepers, drivers to watch for Toyota Owners 400.
Richmond

Get the latest NASCAR news, photos, rankings, lists and more on Bleacher Report.

The weather wiped out the final practice session Friday, and thunderstorms are in the forecast for Saturday. It will rain quite a bit in the afternoon, in fact, but the chances of precipitation decrease as the day goes on. It will still be rather summer-like steamy in the evening, with high humidity, but the chance of rain is 25 percent or less, so the race should get in as scheduled.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Nascar Richmond Predictions

Who is going to win at Richmond Raceway?

Joe Gibbs Racing driver Kyle Busch (+240) tops the charts in Average-Finish Position (AFP) among active drivers at Richmond, posting a 6.93 AFP with six victories, 17 top-5s and 20 top-10s with 1,181 laps led in 27 career starts, and he has never finished lower than 24th.

Since Sep. ’15, a Toyota has been to Victory Lane five times in the past seven starts, including a sweep by Kyle Busch last season.

JGR’s Denny Hamlin (+1000) has three victories in 25 career starts at Richmond while leading all drivers with 1,659 laps led. He also has 11 top-5 finishes, 15 top-10 showings and like Busch, the driver who grew up Chesterfield, Va. has never finished lower than 24th at Richmond. NASCAR’s Loop Data also shows him in fifth with a 105.5 Driver Rating over the past five races, leading 254 laps with an 8.6 AFP.

Another JGR driver, Martin Truex Jr. (+700), tops the charts in terms of Driver Rating overt he past five Richmond starts, posting an impressive 120.2 mark with 675 laps led and an amazing 95.2 percent of his laps run inside the Top 15. He has actually never won at Richmond in 26 career starts, but he has four finishes inside the Top 10 over the past six runs, and he is worth a roll of the dice.

Ganassi Racing’s Kyle Larson (+2000) hasn’t been terribly impressive this season, but he broke up the Toyota monopoly with a win in his Chevy back in Sep. 2017 at Richmond. He ranks seventh in Driver Rating (102.1) over the past five starts. Don’t forget about Penske’s Brad Keselowski (+850), too. He is second in Driver Rating over the past five starts. He hasn’t won at Richmond since Sep. 2014, but he has a solid 13.5 AFP and he has been 11th or better in seven straight starts at the short track. He’ll be a threat for checkers.

Odds courtesy of William Hill Sportsbook; for a full-set of today’s sport odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports.

Richmond Raceway long-shot bet

Stewart-Haas Racing’s Daniel Suarez (+5000) might be worth a small-unit bet, as he has really been a quick study in four Cup starts at Richmond. He has never finished lower than 17th, and he already has a pair of top-10 showings.

Follow Joe on Twitter @JoeWilliamsVI

The Monster Energy Cup Series rolls into Richmond Raceway Saturday night for the Federated Auto Parts 400 at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr. (+550), the winner last week in the South Point Hotel Casino 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, picked up the victory in the spring race at Richmond, too. In fact, four of his past seven starts at Richmond have resulted in a top-10 finish, so all eyes will be on MTJ.

Who is going to win Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway?

Nascar Richmond Predictions

All odds from BetMGM. For a full-set of today’s sports betting odds, access them at USA TODAY Sports. Odds last updated Saturday at 11:00 a.m. ET.

While Truex leads all drivers with a 121.0 Driver Rating across the past five stops at the Virginia short track, Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick (+550) is next with a 112.4 Driver Rating while running 92.0 percent of his laps inside the Top 15. Happy also has a 6.2 Average-Finish Position (AFP) across his past five Richmond outings.

Harvick has three checkered flags in his career in 37 Cup starts in Richmond while leading 1,139 laps with 15 top-5 finishes, 24 top-10 results and no DNFs with a 9.89 AFP.

JGR’s Denny Hamlin (+550) is also a three-time winner at this track, and the Chesterfield, Va. native gets hyped to drive in his backyard. In 26 Cup starts, he is second among all drivers with a 9.38 AFP, leading a circuit-best 1,659 laps. He is as good of a bet as any. Are you new to sports betting? A $10 wager on Hamlin at +550 would return a profit of $55.00 if he wins the race.

His teammate Kyle Busch (+300) is also a good bet, winning six times in 28 Cup starts while leading everyone with a 6.96 AFP. He was eighth in this event in the spring, but he swept both Richmond races in 2018. A $10 wager on Busch would return a $30 profit if he wins.

Nascar Richmond Race Predictions

Looking to place a bet on this race or other motorsports? Get some action in the NASCAR race through BetMGM. Sign up and bet at BetMGM now!

Ganassi Racing driver Kyle Larson (+2500) has managed a win, two top-5 runs, four top-10 showings and 73 laps led with a solid 12.2 AFP. If you’re thinking a little bit outside of the box, and away from the heavy favorites (Busch, Hamlin, Harvick and Truex), Larson could sneak up and cash tickets. If he pulls out the victory, a $10 wager on Larson would return a $250 profit.

Richmond Raceway long-shot bets

Nascar Richmond Predictions

Roush Fenway Racing driver Ryan Newman (+10000) is in the playoffs (currently 13th in the standings), yet no one is talking about ‘The Rocket Man’. That could change if he simply lives up to his career averages at Richmond. In 35 Cup starts he has a win, seven top-5 finishes and 19 top-10 runs with a strong 12.54 AFP and just one DNF.

Keep an eye on SHR’s Daniel Suarez (+9000), too. He has been a quick study at Richmond, finishing 18th or better in each of his five Cup starts at the short track, including a seventh-place run in Fall ’17. His 12.8 AFP is ninth among all active participants.

Nascar Richmond Predictions 2019

Now that you know which drivers you should consider to bet in the Federated Auto Parts 400, head to BetMGM and place your wagers today.

Nascar Richmond Tickets

Follow @JoeWilliamsVIand @SportsbookWire on Twitter.